Thin Volumes & Momentum

28-12-2010

 

Monday proved to be the quietest day of trading for 2010 as volumes were derailed by investors celebrating the holidays and the addition of a winter snow storm in the U.S. which meant some traders who may have wanted to participate in the action were not able to get to their respective offices. The currencies traded in very narrow ranges most of the day. The USD managed to keep its strength against the EUR and GBP. However in late trading the USD did give some ground back to the EUR. The AUD remains an interesting currency to watch as it propels to new highs. It has done this as Gold has moved to the strong side of its consolidated ranges. Volumes will continue to be in question today and the remainder of the week. Traders must remain alert about short term divergence, which may find values under the whims of sudden momentums due to imbalances in the marketplace.

Today the U.S. will release the CB Consumer Sentiment reading and the S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI. While the Consumer Sentiment reading is expecting an improvement the housing price index figures are forecasted to be negative. There will be no other major data today. The U.K. and Canada remain on official holiday. Tomorrow the U.S. will release no major data and Europe will remain relatively quiet with the inconsequential German Prelim CPI figures on schedule. Thursday will see some data from the States with weekly Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales, and Crude Oil Inventories. Friday will see extremely light trading as many nations take holidays for the New Year, which falls on Saturday. In essence today will provide some interesting numbers from the States, but the question is who will be around to gauge the statistics.


The EUR and GBP both remain under a cloud of concerns that come from a combination of government debt, austerity plans, and the ability to create growth in a tough economic environment. The JPY has found itself moving back to the stronger sides of its known range against the USD and traders should remain alert regarding its holiday momentum.