A Day Of Range Trading

27-01-2011

 

The broad markets experienced a true day of tight range trading on Wednesday as investors seemingly tried to gather themselves after nearly two weeks of rather swift trading. The USD remains on the weaker side of its range against the EUR and the GBP did manage to drift towards a slightly higher value after Tuesday’s rather negative day. The Federal Reserve released its FOMC Statement last night, but it provided very little in the way of surprises. The Fed continues to take the stance that the economy remains stable and shows signs of growing, but that the jobless numbers remain a concern. It also said that it has made no changes to its quantitative easing policies announced last month. New Homes Sales numbers from the States did produce a better result with a number of 329k, but the previous month’s figure was revised downward. Wall Street was able to turn in a slightly positive day of trading also.

Today the Americans will release weekly Unemployment Claims, Core Durable Goods Orders, and Pending Home Sales. All three sets of data are important. The jobless situation in the States is set to become a politically hot potato once again and the numbers have shown little real improvement. Today’s expectation of 407k would be worse than last week’s result. Core Durable Goods are anticipated to improve by 0.9% and after last month’s good number this report will be looked to for any possible surprises. The housing market remains hard pressed to create positive news and the main ingredient in the sector is the fact that home prices are still creeping lower which means demand is lackluster at best. Tomorrow the Advance GDP awaits and this report will be watched carefully. The USD has been battered in the short term and its long term outlook remains a source of debate with so many questions abounding in the investment world. While a stronger U.S. economy is seen by some and has how allowed risk appetite to form some nice momentum, there are cautionary signs that are numerous also.

The EUR and GBP both had relatively a quiet day taking into context their recent trading. A day after declining on a poor GDP report the Sterling managed to find some stability. The EUR continues to sit perched at the higher end of its range against the USD and though it found consolidated trading on Wednesday it showed little signs of retracing. The U.K. released its BBA Mortgage Approvals yesterday and it turned in a disappointing result of 28.7k. Today the U.K. will see the CBI Realized Sales reading and a mark of 37 is anticipated. There was little hard data from Europe yesterday but the annual economic meetings in Davos, Switzerland are taking place and have given business leaders and international officials a platform to express their concerns ranging from the debt crisis, commodity inflation, and government spending and austerity measures. Both the EUR and GBP could continue to find strength if risk appetite remains prevalent.

The JPY and AUD both traded in range on Wednesday. The price of Gold did stage a bit of a comeback and finds itself at 1344.50 USD an ounce as of this writing. The Asian markets continue to exhibit mixed results as those with a taste for risk battle those who are more cautious. Traders should be well aware that divergence still exists in the broad markets and that currencies are finding a daily fight as ranges are having pressure put on them because of the wide range of opinions that lurk.